---
title: "2026 Prediction Results"
description: "I'm tracking results of 2026-predictions"
date: 2026-12-31
published: false
tags:
  - predictions
template: blog-post
---


I'm tracking results of <a href="/2026-predictions/" class="wikilink" data-title="2026 Predictions" data-description="I&#39;m late on this one so I&#39;ve seen everyone else&#39;s. I&#39;ll try my best to make some bold predictions I&#39;ve not seen elsewhere" data-date="2026-01-16">2026 Predictions</a>

## more open source, less open contribution

<div class="embed-card embed-card-external embed-card-provider-youtube">
  <div class="embed-card-rich">
<lite-youtube videoid="dFnZyoLXVa4" title="Ladybird Browser Stops Accepting Public Pull Requests" playlabel="Play: Ladybird Browser Stops Accepting Public Pull Requests"></lite-youtube>
  </div>
</div>


## 2026 is not the year to build hardware

## Agents will overwork us

<div class="embed-card embed-card-external">
  <a href="https://steve-yegge.medium.com/the-ai-vampire-eda6e4f07163" class="embed-card-link" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">
    <div class="embed-card-image">
      <img src="https://miro.medium.com/v2/resize:fit:1200/1*svqMSkVB3MnkjOetkxoLCQ.png" alt="The AI Vampire — This was an unusually hard post to write, because it flies in the face of everything else going on." loading="lazy">
    </div>
    <div class="embed-card-content">
      <div class="embed-card-title">The AI Vampire</div>
      <div class="embed-card-description">This was an unusually hard post to write, because it flies in the face of everything else going on.</div>
      <div class="embed-card-meta">Medium &middot; steve-yegge.medium.com</div>
    </div>
  </a>
</div>


## 2026 is to ai as 2012 was for js frameworks